Burton automatic promotion or last minute failures?

[gillsfan1066]

Because we support Gillingham Football Club, were trained from a very young age to expect the worse, in fact it's in our DNA, built into our very soul, miss promotion this year and it's 100% certain we will be relegated next year, thats the God given law for GFC, lol.

[Garawa]

Despite the Gills dropping 2 points on my predictions against Coventry, so too did Burton so it doesn't change much of the final results only the points really (although this WILL change over the remaining games). Bradford are my big winners gaining 2 points helping to knock Millwall out of the playoffs come May. This is the update after today's games.

[gillsfan1066]

Well done old darling, now you have me totally confused, if we drew 0-0 and Millwall drew 0-0 how come we get -2 and they get nothing, zero ,f all, nutting. So you expected Colchester to draw with them, a bottom feeder, ( I want you to do my pools coupon next week ) but you expected Gillingham to win so it's -2 , wow I AM impressed.
Well done Mr. Pythagoras (and so you should be),

[Garawa]

This isn't a running total of the current league, there are a billion websites where you can see that. I was annoyed that virtually all our fans said automatic was beyond us but I felt that basic results could still give us a good realistic chance of it. The points difference were on what I predicted so I thought we would beat Coventry for 3 points but we drew hence -2 (points dropped) and Bradford have an extra 2 (spreadsheet removes the + sign) points gained from their win after I predicted a draw. I will do it after each round of games purely to see if I feel we are still on track for automatic promotion.

A red match will be an incorrect prediction and a green a correct one hence the 0 showing now alteration of points.

[Garawa]

After Gills result today (draw at Sheff Utd) I now have the Gills a point better off and still in 2nd if all results go the way I think (they won't, but there are better than they were 2 games further away from the end)! 3 results right, 4 wrong but one of those was the Gills that gave us a point instead of losing like I thought we would. My theory behind this hinges on winning 2 key games, the next on Tuesday against Walsall. Here is the updated table:

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[lidbid46]

Oh dear; you are proving how predicting anything to do with gills matches is impossible! If Norris had scored the pen I think we would have won but he didn't so we didn't. Massive loss tonight which I'm afraid could completely derail us. It is going to be really hard to bounce back on Saturday.

[Garawa]

Yep. If the rest of the results go the way of the table it has us in 4th. Walsall would take 2nd. Of course if we win all our games it would look very different as I still have us dropping another 4 points but we need to start creating otherwise we stand no chance. We are playing sides with virtually nothing to play for so these are the most winnable games at this stage of the season, more so than sides at the very bottom (even relegated ones as they have pride to play for).

Port Vale have no chance. Sides above them only need 3 points between now and the end of the season to rule them out of the playoffs so they are NEVER going to get there!
Rochdale have a tricky game against Blackpool Saturday. If they lose that and the Gills beat PV then the gap is at least 10 points with 12 to play for.
Shrewsbury will still likely be in a relegation battle so won't be easy however their away form of late has been awful.

Win one of those drawn games and the rest stay the way I have it (it won't but this is just for demonstration purposes) then we will be on the same number of points as Walsall. How crucial that goal from Norris could be!!!! Our goal difference before he scored was +19 and Walsall's was +18. Even though we lost it is now +20 and +17, how great for his critics if that stoppage time goal helped secure promotion! On last night's evidence we are a long way short but its still more than possible.

[Garawa]

I seem to be better at predicting Millwall results than the Gills! Although this was to demonstrate to those that said automatics would be beyond us (and it is now) I will continue this topic until the end of the season for interest. Even more annoyingly is that currently only Bradford and Walsall have gained more points than I thought they would (both +2) with all others dropping points! I had us in 2nd place so that would have been even more safer still! I still have the Gills finishing 6th so gaining an extra 2 points against Rochdale tomorrow night (I predicted a draw) will go a long way to ensuring we at least get a home tie in the second leg of the play offs!

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[Garawa]

Ok this is getting really annoying now! It seems I wasn't being overly optimistic but was more than feasible to catch Burton in 2nd but we have well and truly thrown it away! Only Bradford have gained points from my predictions and had we beaten Port Vale on Saturday, we could have been aiming for 2nd just 3 points behind Burton! (Of course were we to lose that tie then the figure would become 9)!

Should have put a blooming accumulator on the Millwall run in!

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[Garawa]

Unsurprisingly have the Gills missing out now with current predictions even with a win against Burton but a win against Millwall would gain two. 10 points dropped from the Gills and it would be a comfortable 3rd place. Burton were dropping like a stone but have picked up 2 extra points that now looks to have them taking second after all. What fine margins this season is based on!

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